Nexi
Payments
Nexi is what happened when Italy decided to build a payments champion. The company's roots run through decades of bank-owned card infrastructure — the CartaSi and ICBPI lineage that processed Italian card payments on behalf of the banking system — before private equity firms Advent, Bain, and Clessidra reshaped it into a company and took it public on Borsa Italiana in 2019. Then came the two deals that defined it: the merger with SIA, Italy's interbank payments infrastructure, and the acquisition of Denmark's Nets, both closed in 2021. The result was "The European PayTech" — a group operating in more than 25 countries with around 9,200 employees, spanning merchant acquiring, card issuing for banks, and national payment infrastructure from Italy to the Nordics to Poland, where Nets' acquisitions of Przelewy24 and Dotpay sit inside the group.
The strategy was scale through consolidation, and for a while the market believed in it. It no longer does, and March 2026 was the moment that became undeniable. Nexi's full-year 2025 results — revenue of €3.58 billion, EBITDA of €1.9 billion, growth of just 2.1% — arrived with a €3.7 billion writedown on previously acquired businesses, chiefly Nets, and guidance that 2026 would be flat, with growth not returning until 2028. The stock fell more than 20% in a day to a record low. CEO Paolo Bertoluzzo's framing to investors was unusually candid for the genre: Nexi was transitioning from a growth company to one that produces steady cash flows — "you don't have to believe we can go to the moon" — with a dividend hiked 20% and €1.1 billion in shareholder returns planned through 2028 as the consolation. His defence of the writedown was equally frank: Nexi bought companies at high prices, but paid in shares that were then worth six times their current value.
The ownership structure completed its own transition in early 2026. Advent and Bain, the private equity firms that built and listed the company, sold their remaining stake in February — leaving Hellman & Friedman and CDP, the Italian state investor, as the two anchor shareholders at roughly a fifth each. The parallel with Worldline is hard to miss: Europe's two great payments roll-ups of the 2019–2021 era have both ended the cycle written down, growth-challenged, and anchored by state-linked capital — Nexi without the compliance scandal, which is a meaningful distinction, but with the same underlying lesson about buying growth with expensive shares. CVC explored a bid in 2024, sending the shares up 19% in a day; nothing came of it, though the episode established that the company is viewed as acquirable.
Leadership turned over with the strategy: Bernardo Mingrone, Nexi's long-serving finance chief, succeeded Bertoluzzo as CEO in 2026, presenting his first half-year results in July. The growth initiatives under way are real if unglamorous — Zippay, a person-to-person payment service built on Nexi infrastructure launching in Ireland with AIB, Bank of Ireland, and PTSB; integration of the European wallet Wero into German e-commerce; a Visa partnership on managed card issuing for German banks; and the €105 million acquisition of Banca Popolare di Sondrio's merchant book, continuing the model of buying banks' payment operations that built the company. Nexi remains one of Europe's largest payment processors and the default infrastructure of Italian digital payments. The question its own guidance poses is whether that is a platform for renewed growth from 2028, or simply a very large utility returning cash to patient shareholders. The current share price says the market has priced the utility.
Founded 2013